Quantifying Uncertainty
The beginnings of Polynomial Chaos (PC) can be traced back to Weiner.
He proposed that a spectral expansion of Hermite polynomials in terms of Gaussian
random variables can be used to represent certain stochastic processes. Cameron and
Martin then demonstrated that the Homogeneous Chaos expansion can
be used to approximate any functionals in and that the subsequent
approximation converges in
. Here
is the space of real functions
which are continuous on the interval
and vanish at
.
Consequently any second order stochastic process
, viewed as a
function of the random event
, space
and time
, can be represented
by a spectral expansion based upon a trial basis of random Hermite polynomials:
Here the basis, composed of Hermite polynomials
of order
, is a function of the multidimensional Gaussian random variable
with mean zero and unit
which are functions of the random parameter
The Hermite Chaos expansion above has been used effectively to solve stochastic differential equations with Gaussian inputs [Xiu 2002, Xiu 2003a, Xiu2003b]. But according to the theorem of Cameron and Martin, the Hermite Chaos expansion will converge for arbitrary second order random processes. For example, Ghanem [ Ghanem 1991, Ghanem 1999] employed Hermite chaos to model log-normal processes. However use of Gaussian processes results in optimal exponential convergence [Lucor 2001]. In some cases, the performance of Hermite Chaos has been shown to decrease substantially when representing random processes with non-Gaussian inputs [Xiu 2002b].
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